Introduction ix
I IN THE BEGINNING
1(46)
1 Primitive Predictions
3(10)
Prediction on the battlefield
Caveman prediction
Foibles of the mind
How our minds are actually prediction machines
Maintaining humility with a predictive mind
2 The Genes in All of Us
13(14)
Ominous behavior at the beginning of life
Recognizing the tells of autism and doing something about it
The case of William and his anxious summer at camp
How a forty-five-minute observation of young children predicts reactive physiology years later
Biology is not destiny
3 Strange Situations: Growing up in a Thin-Sliced World
27(20)
Parks, swings, and observing behavior
How we become attached
To be secure or insecure?
The power of Strange Situations to predict who we are
Predicting your child's attachment style before she's even born
II HOW WE SIZE UP OTHERS
47(36)
4 Who Are You Anyway?
49(20)
A photographic personality
Is it possible to forecast the cognitive chops of someone you just interviewed?
Seeing goodness in(side) others
Spotting liars, cheaters, and aggressive people
When tells go awry
5 The Targets of Our Attraction
69(14)
Gaydar and straightdar
The science of inferring sexual orientation
The role of society
Is it possible to predict sexual orientation?
Can one conceal sexual orientation?
The tells of sexual orientation
The role of nature and nurture
III Love and Lies
83(44)
6 From Dating to Mating
85(26)
Seeking partners in a modern age with an old brain
What men's lopsided faces and fancy goods tell us
What women's faces and figures predict
Accentuating our evolutionary signals with a scalpel
Predicting divorce from three minutes of interaction or a photograph
Smile and live long
7 Detecting Deception
111(16)
The student who lied after a bathroom break
Are we good lie detectors?
Did the bank clerk steal the money?
Police officers are (just) people too
The tells of deceit
Truth wizards and Eyes for Lies
IV Making The Grade: Education, Business, and Politics
127(50)
8 The Power of Enthusiasm
129(12)
Star teachers and their ways
It only takes six seconds
Dr. Ceci's "Enthusiasm Experiment"
The power of enthusiasm inside the classroom and out
9 Catching the Cues of the Cash Cow
141(12)
The God-like status of CEOs
Is it possible to predict company profits from a CEO's face?
The neuroscience of perception
Are leaders born or made?
Identifying and hiring your next sales superstar
10 Political Punditry: Any Kid Can Do It
153(24)
The unnatural state of democracy
Are we really as rational as we think we are when we vote?
Lessons from history: Nixon versus Kennedy, and a twelve-year-old's letter to Lincoln
Predicting elections from a snapshot
Designing the "perfect" candidate
Conclusion: The Importance of Predictive Humility 177(4)
Acknowledgments 181(4)
Notes 185(36)
References 221(34)
Credits 255(2)
Index 257